Outlier detection in network revenue management

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract This paper presents an automated approach for providing ranked lists of outliers in observed demand to support analysts network revenue management. Such management, e.g. railway itineraries, needs accurate forecasts. However, across or parts a complicate forecasting, and the structure makes such hard detect. We propose two-step combining clustering with functional outlier detection identify outlying from bookings on leg level. The first step clusters legs appropriately partition pools booking patterns. second identifies within each cluster uses novel aggregation method create alert list affected instances. Our outperforms analyses that consider data without regard implications offers computationally efficient alternative storing analysing all itinerary level, especially highly-connected networks where most customers book multi-leg products. A simulation study demonstrates robustness quantifies potential benefits adjusting forecasts offer optimisation. Finally, we illustrate applicability based empirical obtained Deutsche Bahn.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: OR Spectrum

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['0171-6468', '1436-6304']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00291-023-00714-2